Say\u0131l\u0131 g\u00fcn \u00e7abuk ge\u00e7iyor. Bu yaz\u0131y\u0131 yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131m s\u0131rada referanduma 25 g\u00fcn kalm\u0131\u015f. Kampanyalar b\u00fct\u00fcn \u015fiddeti ile devam ediyor. Siyasi parti liderleri, referandumdan, on ya da on bir ay sonra genel se\u00e7im oldu\u011funu unutmu\u015f olacaklar ki; b\u00fct\u00fcn enerjilerini referandumda t\u00fcketiyorlar.
\n<\/p>\n
Daha \u00f6nceki yaz\u0131lar\u0131mda da belirttim. Muhalefet ger\u00e7ekten \u00e7ok yanl\u0131\u015f bir strateji uyguluyor. Tekrar ifade ediyorum, CHP\u2019nin hay\u0131r oyunu bir par\u00e7a anlayabiliyorum. HSYK ve Anayasa Mahkemesi’ni arka bah\u00e7esi haline getiren, halk\u0131n kendisine lay\u0131k g\u00f6rmedi\u011fi iktidar\u0131, bu kurumlar kanal\u0131yla bir nevi payla\u015fan CHP, \u015fayet evet \u00e7\u0131karsa b\u00fcy\u00fck bir ihtimal ile elindeki silahlar\u0131 kaybedecektir. Bunun i\u00e7in var g\u00fcc\u00fcyle hay\u0131r kampanyas\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctmektedir.<\/p>\n
Mehmet Mo\u011foltay ve Seyfi Oktay\u2019\u0131n adalet bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde, kendi kurduklar\u0131 komisyonlarla, yapt\u0131klar\u0131 g\u00f6stermelik m\u00fclakatlarla, binlerce hakim ve savc\u0131y\u0131, adalet kadrolar\u0131na dahil eden CHP\u2019nin bu de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan daha tabii ne olabilir.<\/p>\n
Mo\u011foltay ve Seyfi Oktay\u2019\u0131n kadrola\u015f\u0131rken, mensup olduklar\u0131 mezhep kimliklerinin do\u011frultusunda yeni elemanlar\u0131 adliye te\u015fkilat\u0131na soktuklar\u0131 bilinen bir ger\u00e7ektir. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki kurumlar i\u00e7inde adalet te\u015fkilat\u0131, n\u00fcfusa oranla haddinden fazla bir mezhebin kadrola\u015fmas\u0131yla, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin dengesini bozdu\u011fu bir kurum haline gelmi\u015ftir. <\/p>\n
Yarg\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131 eline ge\u00e7iren HSYK, mevcut yap\u0131s\u0131yla hi\u00e7bir zaman T\u00fcrk yarg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 temsil edemeyecek bir \u015fekle d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Akordu bozuk enstr\u00fcman gibi, birbiriyle \u00e7eli\u015fen, zaman ve zemine g\u00f6re farkl\u0131 kararlar veren hukuk, HSYK\u2019n\u0131n eseridir. <\/p>\n
AKP y\u00f6netimi, darbe anayasalar\u0131n\u0131n merkezini, yani bir anlamda odak noktas\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ok iyi \u015fekilde belirlemi\u015ftir. Bu iki kurumun yap\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fmesi ile T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131k \u015fekilde g\u00f6r\u00fclecektir. \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fcklerin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc t\u0131kayan, ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olmas\u0131 gerekirken, Genelkurmay Karargah\u0131’na giderek haz\u0131r ol vaziyetine ge\u00e7en ve brifing alan bu y\u00fcksek yarg\u0131 mensuplar\u0131 ile hangi adaleti da\u011f\u0131tacaks\u0131n\u0131z.<\/p>\n
H\u00fck\u00fcmetin(Adalet Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n)dik durmas\u0131 sayesinde, bir avu\u00e7 yarg\u0131c\u0131n, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de adalet mekanizmas\u0131n\u0131 i\u015fletmesiyle neler yap\u0131labildi\u011fini hep birlikte g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Bug\u00fcne kadar hukukun, hep \u00fcst\u00fcnlerin hukuku olarak i\u015fledi\u011fini g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Yarg\u0131da hep ayr\u0131cal\u0131kl\u0131 olmaya al\u0131\u015fan insanlar\u0131n, yarg\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda nas\u0131l k\u00f6\u015fe doland\u0131klar\u0131na hep birlikte \u015fahit olduk.<\/p>\n
K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu seferi (!)oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in Polatl\u0131\u2019da cuma namaz\u0131 k\u0131lmad\u0131<\/p>\n
Kurulu\u015fundan bu yana, T\u00fcrk toplumunu cahil ve kaba olarak g\u00f6ren bir anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131n temsilcisi olan CHP\u2019nin, halkla b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fmesi i\u00e7in \u00e7ok f\u0131r\u0131n ekmek yemesi gerekir. Kemal K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu\u2019nun, \u00e7ok aleni bi\u00e7imde s\u0131r\u0131tan Ecevit taklidi pozlar\u0131 ile bu milletin aldat\u0131lmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fildir. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kaymak tabakas\u0131n\u0131 yiyenlerin oturdu\u011fu semtlerden CHP oylar\u0131 f\u0131\u015fk\u0131rd\u0131k\u00e7a, CHP ile bu millet bar\u0131\u015famayacakt\u0131r. Dilinde Erdo\u011fan\u2019dan daha fazla dini motifler kullanan K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu, sizce ne kadar inand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Ramazan ay\u0131nda i\u00e7ki i\u00e7ilmemesi ve aleni olarak oru\u00e7 yenmemesi i\u00e7in talimatlar ya\u011fd\u0131ran K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu ne kadar samimidir. Peki soruyorum? Bu kadar \u00e7ok dini motifleri diline pelesenk eden K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu\u2019nu, hi\u00e7 cuma namaz\u0131nda g\u00f6ren olmu\u015f mu? Ya da b\u0131rakal\u0131m cuma namaz\u0131n\u0131, kendi inanc\u0131 gere\u011fi, cem ayininde g\u00f6ren olmu\u015f mu? Hem dini s\u00f6ylemleri dilinizden eksik etmeyeceksiniz, hem de bununla ilgili hi\u00e7bir icraat\u0131n\u0131z olmayacak. K\u00fcrt ve Alevi k\u00f6kenli olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, bu kimliklerini adeta gizlemek ister gibi bir \u00e7aba i\u00e7inde g\u00f6r\u00fclen K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu nas\u0131l inand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.
\nBu sat\u0131rlar\u0131 yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131m s\u0131rada, g\u00fcnah\u0131n\u0131 almayay\u0131m K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu\u2019nun, se\u00e7im gezileri s\u0131ras\u0131nda Ankara Polatl\u0131\u2019da, cuma namaz\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131lmak \u00fczere camii avlusunda bekleyen cemaatin yan\u0131na giderek, onlarla sohbet etti\u011fi ve cemaatten referandumda hay\u0131r oyu \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 i\u00e7in dua istedi\u011fini hat\u0131rlad\u0131m. Tabi bu arada seferi oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in(!) cuma namaz\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131lmay\u0131 cemaate b\u0131rakarak oradan ayr\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da hat\u0131rlatal\u0131m.
\nBu referandumun her iki durumda da ma\u011flubu MHP olacakt\u0131r. \u015eayet hay\u0131r \u00e7\u0131karsa, bu ba\u015far\u0131y\u0131 CHP, kartel medyas\u0131n\u0131n da deste\u011fi ile tek ba\u015f\u0131na sahiplenecektir. Referandumdan hay\u0131r \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, MHP\u2019nin sand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n aksine, AKP se\u00e7menini da\u011f\u0131tmayacak tam tersine kam\u00e7\u0131layacakt\u0131r. Bir ka\u00e7 puan kaybetse bile AKP, y\u00fczde 38 ya da 40 oran\u0131ndaki oyuyla yine iktidar olacakt\u0131r.
\nMHP yanl\u0131\u015f yap\u0131yor dedik; bu tezimizde de \u0131srarl\u0131y\u0131z. MHP\u2019nin AKP\u2019yi ele\u015ftirdi\u011fi tek nokta a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131m politikas\u0131d\u0131r. Kandil\u2019den ve Mahmur Kamp\u0131’ndan gelen, Habur\u2019da \u00f6zel mahkeme taraf\u0131ndan yarg\u0131lan\u0131p serbest b\u0131rak\u0131lan PKK\u2019l\u0131, ya da sempatizanlar\u0131, AKP h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin yumu\u015fak karn\u0131d\u0131r. Burada s\u00fcrecin iyi y\u00f6netilemedi\u011fi \u00e7ok net olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr.<\/p>\n
Tahminlerimde bug\u00fcne kadar pek yan\u0131lmad\u0131m. Y\u00fczde 55\u2019ten az olmamak \u00fczere evet \u00e7\u0131kar<\/p>\n
MHP\u2019nin buradaki hatas\u0131, bu konunun referandum ile ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 olarak dile getirilmesidir. Tamamen bir genel se\u00e7im konusu olarak i\u015flenmesi gereken bu olay, MHP taraf\u0131ndan kanaatimizce hoyrat\u00e7a harcanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131m politikas\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerine kat\u0131lmamakla birlikte, MHP en az\u0131ndan bu tezi savunacak kendi i\u00e7inde tutarl\u0131 arg\u00fcmanlara sahiptir.<\/p>\n
Ben MHP y\u00f6neticilerine soruyorum? Bu referandum sonunda \u015fayet evet \u00e7\u0131karsa, genel se\u00e7imlerde hangi tezlerle se\u00e7men kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kacaks\u0131n\u0131z. Referandum kampanyas\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda tek kelimeyle bile olsa anayasa de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi maddelerine de\u011finmeyen, b\u00fct\u00fcn kurgusunu a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131m politikas\u0131na endeksleyen MHP, acaba hi\u00e7 evet \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 sonras\u0131 durumu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc m\u00fc?<\/p>\n
Referandum kampanyas\u0131n\u0131 \u015fimdilik en d\u00fczg\u00fcn bi\u00e7imde y\u00fcr\u00fcten parti AKP\u2019dir. Saadet Partisi ve BBP\u2019nin k\u0131saca \u201cYetmez ama yine de evet\u201d olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lan kampanyalar\u0131 halk nezdinde b\u00fcy\u00fck ilgi g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. BDP\u2019nin boykot kampanyas\u0131 umulan\u0131n tersine, parti \u00e7evrelerinde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaratm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Yap\u0131lan anketlerde neredeyse BDP se\u00e7meninin yar\u0131s\u0131, partinin \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131na uymayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etmi\u015ftir. Bu durumda, BDP y\u00f6netiminin de ald\u0131klar\u0131 karardan vazge\u00e7mek i\u00e7in bahaneler arad\u0131klar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir.<\/p>\n
Genellikle bug\u00fcne kadar se\u00e7imlerde yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m tahminlerde pek yan\u0131lmad\u0131m. Bu referandumda da pek yan\u0131laca\u011f\u0131m\u0131 sanm\u0131yorum. Kendi \u00e7evre g\u00f6zlemlerime g\u00f6re, y\u00fczde 55\u2019in alt\u0131nda olmamak \u00fczere evet oylar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funlukta \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyorum.<\/p>\n
25 g\u00fcn kald\u0131 hep birlikte g\u00f6rece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Say\u0131l\u0131 g\u00fcn \u00e7abuk ge\u00e7iyor. Bu yaz\u0131y\u0131 yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131m s\u0131rada referanduma 25 g\u00fcn kalm\u0131\u015f. Kampanyalar b\u00fct\u00fcn \u015fiddeti ile devam ediyor. Siyasi parti liderleri, referandumdan, on ya da on bir ay sonra genel se\u00e7im oldu\u011funu unutmu\u015f olacaklar ki; b\u00fct\u00fcn enerjilerini referandumda t\u00fcketiyorlar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mehdinuzhetcetinbas.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mehdinuzhetcetinbas.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mehdinuzhetcetinbas.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mehdinuzhetcetinbas.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mehdinuzhetcetinbas.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=76"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/mehdinuzhetcetinbas.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":77,"href":"https:\/\/mehdinuzhetcetinbas.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76\/revisions\/77"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mehdinuzhetcetinbas.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=76"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mehdinuzhetcetinbas.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=76"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mehdinuzhetcetinbas.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=76"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}